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Research papers

Exploiting analytical advances

This paper considers the implications of new analytic advances on Internet-based surveys of non-random samples. The empirical evidence presented indicate that Internet-based forecasts in the 2000 U.S. elections were two times more accurate than...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Conference Worldwide Online Measurement 2001
Authors: George Terhanian, Renee Smith, John Bremer, Randall K. Thomas
Company: Harris Interactive (Europe)
June 1, 2001

Research papers

Knowing the future

Using data collected in the springs of 1999 and 2000 from a standardized survey of over 18,000 respondents across the United States, a prospective model of health plan customer loyalty was developed. The model was based on a combination of...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Global Healthcare 2001: Changes In Competitive Dynamics
Author: James Bologna
April 1, 2001

Research papers

Trend seeking

This paper aims to demonstrate that international studies give a new meaning to studies predicting future trends including the detection of where new trends develop (in what circles etc.); understanding how trends spread in a given country and how...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1999: The Race For Innovation
Authors: Ron Beasley, Catherine Becker
Company: ABM Research Inc.
September 1, 1999

Research papers

The leading edge

This paper describes the development of a model where, from a sample of the Leading Edge population segment, it can be determined which trends will have commercial value in the near future (maximum one to two years) when the Mainstream segment begins...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1999: The Race For Innovation
Authors: Nils Röhme, Niels Erik Folmann
September 1, 1999

Research papers

The use of modelling for public opinion polls

This dissertation aims to propose a methodological approach to apply modelling to public opinion polls in order to favour the process which leads from description to explanation and further to prediction. The inclusion of modelling would also...

Catalogue: Latin America 1999: Marketing In Latin America In The 21st Century
Author: Oscar Carrari
June 15, 1999

Research papers

The use of modelling for public opinion polls (Spanish)

This dissertation aims to propose a methodological approach to apply modelling to public opinion polls in order to favour the process which leads from description to explanation and further to prediction. The inclusion of modelling would also...

Catalogue: Latin America 1999: Marketing In Latin America In The 21st Century
Author: Oscar Carrari
June 15, 1999

Research papers

Getting to the future faster

The philosophy behind the Delphi Technique for forecasting is to gather a group of experts all of whom have different perspectives on the issue being studied. Through a series of iterative surveys and discussions the learning of the group is...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1998: The Power Of Knowledge
Author: Alecia S. Helton
September 1, 1998

Research papers

Marketing to men in the millennium

This paper deals with the issues and questions of foreseeing the future and forecasting men's behaviour and attitudes. Specifically it presents the way we can use the input of the latest global RIO (Research International Observer) project to...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1998: The Power Of Knowledge
Authors: Panos Assiotis, David Jones
September 1, 1998

Research papers

Modelling with neural nets

This paper describes an operational model used within the scope of a budget process for a warranty extension product. The model is built on a database containing a record of the costs incurred with several thousand vehicles over a period of five...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1998: The Power Of Knowledge
Authors: Pierre Marie Windal, Nathalie Gouenard, Christine Oneto
September 1, 1998